Sochaux vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sochaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
SOC
1 - 1
AUX
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
SOC
3 - 1
ASB
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
SOC
1 - 0
BAS
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
SOC
1 - 1
NAN
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
LEN
1 - 1
SOC
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
ASN
0 - 1
MPL
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
STL
1 - 0
ASN
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
PSG
1 - 2
ASN
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
ASN
1 - 0
ASB
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
ASN
0 - 1
LEN
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |