Sochaux vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sochaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
SOC
4 - 1
SPO
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1998 |
SOC
1 - 4
LEN
28%
26%
45%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
ESW
1 - 1
SOC
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
SOC
1 - 1
NIO
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
TRE
1 - 2
SOC
16%
24%
61%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1998 |
ASB
2 - 3
CAE
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
CAE
5 - 0
CSL
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
NIC
0 - 1
CAE
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
CAE
1 - 0
NAN
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
CAE
1 - 1
SPO
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |