Sochaux II vs Belfort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
3º
18
6º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 41 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 30% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sochaux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 4
SOC
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SOC
2 - 0
SAR
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 1
SOC
30%
23%
46%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SOC
1 - 1
PON
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
THA
0 - 1
SOC
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 3
MET
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
JUR
2 - 0
BEL
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRC
1 - 1
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
RAO
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 2
BEL
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |