Sobrado vs Moimenta da Beira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobrado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
SOB
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SOB
2 - 1
ESP
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PED
0 - 0
SOB
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SOB
1 - 2
CIN
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
COI
0 - 0
SOB
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Moimenta da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COI
2 - 3
MOI
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MOI
0 - 1
SAL
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MOI
1 - 0
GON
27%
24%
50%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +4 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 1
MOI
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MOI
3 - 0
LUS
30%
24%
47%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +4 |