Sobradinho vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
SOB
0 - 1
CAL
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 0
SOB
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
DOM
3 - 1
SOB
45%
23%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
SOB
0 - 0
DOM
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SOB
5 - 3
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
VIT
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 1
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
RES
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
BOT
4 - 1
POR
86%
12%
2%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
BAN
3 - 0
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |