Copa Verde 1/16
Global 5-3
Sobradinho vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SOB
1 - 2
VIT
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 0
SOB
61%
24%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
SOB
54%
25%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
SOB
0 - 1
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SOB
0 - 1
CAL
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAX
23%
28%
49%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CAX
1 - 0
MAN
68%
21%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
REC
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
REC
1 - 0
MAN
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 1
RDA
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |