Sober CD vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1302%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sober CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SOB
6 - 0
REL
84%
10%
5%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 2
SOB
18%
19%
63%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SOB
6 - 1
RSI
72%
16%
13%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SRN
2 - 2
SOB
25%
20%
55%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SOB
5 - 1
CAT
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
COR
3 - 0
SLU
43%
21%
37%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
REL
2 - 4
SLU
12%
16%
73%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SLU
1 - 1
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
RSI
2 - 4
SLU
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SLU
2 - 1
SRN
63%
18%
19%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |