SMU Mustangs vs UCF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SMU Mustangs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MPH
3 - 2
SMU
13%
17%
70%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SMU
1 - 0
TMP
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
TUL
2 - 1
SMU
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SMU
2 - 0
SFB
80%
13%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TMP
1 - 4
SMU
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UCF
3 - 2
TUL
51%
21%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UCF
0 - 3
MPH
86%
10%
5%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 3
UCF
16%
19%
65%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
UCF
4 - 1
TMP
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MPH
1 - 4
UCF
10%
16%
75%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | +1 |