SMU Mustangs vs Tulsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SMU Mustangs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
SFB
0 - 4
SMU
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SMU
1 - 2
UCF
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MPH
3 - 2
SMU
13%
17%
70%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SMU
1 - 0
TMP
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
TUL
2 - 1
SMU
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
TUL
5 - 0
MPH
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TUL
2 - 1
TMP
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UCF
3 - 2
TUL
51%
21%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TUL
4 - 0
SFB
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
TUL
2 - 1
SMU
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |