SMU Mustangs vs USF Athletics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SMU Mustangs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TMP
1 - 4
SMU
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
UCF
1 - 1
SMU
55%
21%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SMU
1 - 2
TMP
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
SMU
3 - 0
TUL
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
UCF
2 - 1
SMU
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
USF Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 5
TUL
26%
22%
53%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
TUL
1 - 0
SFB
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SFB
1 - 2
MPH
78%
13%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SFB
0 - 1
UCF
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SMU
3 - 2
SFB
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |