SMU Mustangs vs USF Athletics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SMU Mustangs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SMU
0 - 2
UCF
59%
20%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TMP
2 - 0
SMU
16%
18%
66%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 5
SMU
10%
16%
74%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SMU
7 - 0
SFB
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SMU
2 - 0
MPH
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
USF Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MPH
1 - 3
SFB
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 1
TUL
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 1
TMP
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 1
UCF
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | +3 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SMU
7 - 0
SFB
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |