SMU Mustangs vs USF Athletics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SMU Mustangs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SMU
2 - 0
MPH
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
VIC
3 - 2
SMU
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
UCF
1 - 2
SMU
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
COC
0 - 1
SMU
32%
22%
47%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
USF Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
TMP
3 - 2
SFB
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
LOC
4 - 1
SFB
73%
16%
12%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |