SMU Mustangs vs Memphis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SMU Mustangs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
UCF
0 - 5
SMU
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
SMU
0 - 0
TUL
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
SFB
0 - 4
SMU
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SMU
1 - 2
UCF
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MPH
3 - 2
SMU
13%
17%
70%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Memphis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MPH
0 - 0
SFB
42%
22%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
MPH
2 - 1
TMP
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
TUL
5 - 0
MPH
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 1
MPH
54%
21%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MPH
3 - 2
SMU
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | +2 |