CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Smouha SC vs Léopards de Dolisié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smouha SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 0
SMO
42%
30%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 0
SMO
11%
21%
68%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
SMO
0 - 1
ZAM
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
ELD
1 - 0
SMO
41%
29%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SMO
2 - 0
ENY
50%
27%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Léopards de Dolisié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 0
SMO
11%
21%
68%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MIC
0 - 1
LEO
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
LEO
4 - 1
BIL
56%
23%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 0
GOR
14%
22%
64%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | -4 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
INT
0 - 2
LEO
45%
27%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +4 |