Smouha SC vs Modern SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
17º
12º
7
11º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
23 | 34 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 34 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 29 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 28 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 27 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 27 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 25 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 23 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 23 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 22 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 20 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 19 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 15 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
|
17º
|
7 | 15 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 15 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 13 |
18º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
44.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
55.5% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smouha SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
2 - 0
SMO
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
SMO
1 - 0
MON
83%
12%
4%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
PHA
2 - 1
SMO
39%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
SMO
2 - 4
GHA
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
GOU
1 - 0
SMO
34%
25%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modern SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CCF
5 - 2
ALS
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
CCF
0 - 0
ISM
41%
31%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
CCF
43%
29%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
CCF
0 - 1
NBE
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
CCF
0 - 1
PET
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |