Smolevichy vs Polotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
VOL
0 - 2
SMO
30%
27%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SMO
1 - 1
FKS
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
REC
2 - 1
SMO
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SMO
1 - 6
KHI
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
SMO
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Polotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
POL
1 - 5
REC
16%
22%
62%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
POL
1 - 5
SKV
31%
26%
44%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
POL
0 - 4
VIT
14%
23%
63%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FCS
3 - 0
POL
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
POL
0 - 8
FKG
12%
20%
68%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | -1 |