Smolevichy vs Oshmyany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
GOM
0 - 0
SMO
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SMO
0 - 1
FCS
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 2
SMO
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
SMO
2 - 2
BAR
65%
19%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ZOR
1 - 0
SMO
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oshmyany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
OSH
1 - 3
ZOR
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FCS
4 - 0
OSH
62%
21%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
OSH
0 - 1
LID
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
OSH
0 - 5
GOM
14%
26%
60%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
KHI
2 - 1
OSH
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |