Smolevichy vs Isloch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 2
SMO
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SMO
2 - 0
KHI
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BYA
0 - 3
SMO
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SMO
1 - 1
FCS
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 0
SMO
63%
23%
14%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Isloch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ISL
2 - 0
VIT
31%
29%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ISL
1 - 0
MIN
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
KHI
2 - 3
ISL
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ISL
0 - 0
BYA
51%
24%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ISL
3 - 1
FCS
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |