Smitshoek vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
73.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smitshoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SMI
0 - 3
ASW
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DEL
1 - 2
SMI
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SMI
2 - 1
JOD
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 1
SMI
19%
21%
61%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SMI
1 - 2
NIV
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
AZA
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
RJC
1 - 5
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
NEC
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FEY
3 - 1
NAC
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
ADO
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |