Smiltene vs Skanstes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
58.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
13º
12º
59
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 2
SMI
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TUK
1 - 2
SMI
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 1
ALB
13%
20%
67%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
DRS
1 - 1
SMI
70%
15%
14%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 2
SAL
37%
21%
42%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Skanstes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SKA
4 - 0
PRA
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 0
SKA
57%
20%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SKA
1 - 1
ALB
39%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SKA
3 - 2
DRS
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SKA
2 - 1
SAL
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |