Smiltene vs Rigas FS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
53.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
11º
14º
13º
49
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 63 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
|
1º
|
49 | 62 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 57 |
3º
|
76% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 49 |
4º
|
86% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 40 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
47.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 31 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 30 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 24 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 20 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 46.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 37.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 16% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
56.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 2
SMI
37%
21%
43%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 2
ALB
13%
20%
67%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 3
SKA
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
SMI
73%
17%
11%
|
31 | 69 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SUP
2 - 3
SMI
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
3 - 1
PRA
71%
17%
13%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 0
VAL
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 2
KFV
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
6 - 0
TUK
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SUP
1 - 0
RIG
37%
23%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |