Smiltene vs Rigas FS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
56.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
13º
12º
37
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
SMI
80%
13%
8%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SMI
4 - 0
GRO
11%
16%
74%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | +3 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 0
SMI
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 3
FKB
80%
12%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
UPE
0 - 2
SMI
5%
9%
86%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 0
PRA
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 0
RIG
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 2
ALB
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 0
KFV
90%
8%
3%
|
54 | 16 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
RIG
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |