Smiltene vs Rezekne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
57%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
13º
12º
13
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
FKB
5 - 1
SMI
5%
9%
86%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SMI
3 - 0
DRS
37%
20%
43%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
TUK
2 - 1
SMI
77%
13%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 4
SAL
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
KFV
0 - 1
SMI
2%
6%
92%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Rezekne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
RFA
2 - 0
PRA
35%
24%
42%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
RFA
0 - 2
SKA
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
RFA
1 - 3
ALB
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
RIG
8 - 1
RFA
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
RFA
0 - 1
VAL
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |