Smiltene vs Progress / AFA Olaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
47.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SKA
0 - 0
SMI
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SMI
1 - 3
TUK
46%
22%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
6 - 0
SMI
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SMI
1 - 0
DRS
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SAL
4 - 0
SMI
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Progress / AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PRA
2 - 3
ALB
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PRA
1 - 1
DRS
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 1
PRA
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PRA
3 - 1
GRO
26%
22%
52%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
JGV
2 - 0
PRA
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |