Smiltene vs Ogre United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.6%
13.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+677%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
11º
14º
13º
29
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
SMI
57%
20%
24%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SMI
3 - 3
RFA
53%
19%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 4
PRA
30%
20%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
SMI
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 2
KFV
60%
18%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ogre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 1
PRA
15%
17%
68%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 0
OUD
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OUD
3 - 2
KFV
26%
22%
53%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TUK
2 - 0
OUD
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 2
RIG
16%
21%
64%
|
22 | 61 | 39 | 0 |