Smiltene vs JFK Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
11º
14º
13º
22
7º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
77% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 2
SMI
68%
16%
17%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 3
RIG
25%
22%
54%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 2
SMI
37%
21%
43%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 2
ALB
13%
20%
67%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 3
SKA
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
JFK Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
KFV
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
4 - 0
RFA
35%
21%
43%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 1
TUK
26%
21%
53%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 2
KFV
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FSL
0 - 1
KFV
50%
22%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |