Smiltene vs FK Mārupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
19.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
11º
14º
13º
31
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 57 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 47 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 42 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 39 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 27 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 23 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 18 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
77% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKM
0 - 6
SMI
8%
11%
81%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
RFA
0 - 4
SMI
59%
19%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 1
SMI
68%
16%
16%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SMI
2 - 4
VAL
21%
21%
58%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KFV
2 - 0
SMI
28%
20%
52%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FK Mārupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 7
MAR
16%
17%
67%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
PRA
25%
20%
56%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
KFV
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TUK
0 - 1
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +2 |