Smena Komsomolsk vs Yakutiya Yakutsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
MOP
1 - 0
SME
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
SAK
2 - 0
SME
38%
28%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
SME
3 - 3
IRT
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SME
1 - 1
DIN
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
RAD
0 - 0
SME
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Yakutiya Yakutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
AMU
3 - 2
YAK
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
YAK
2 - 0
SIB
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
YAK
0 - 2
SIB
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SAK
2 - 0
YAK
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
MOP
5 - 0
YAK
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |