Smena Komsomolsk vs Sibiryak Bratsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
SIB
0 - 1
SME
20%
26%
54%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
IRT
0 - 1
SME
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SME
2 - 0
SIB
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
SME
0 - 0
IRT
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
RAD
1 - 1
SME
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sibiryak Bratsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
SIB
1 - 1
YAK
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
YAK
0 - 0
SIB
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
SIB
0 - 3
SAK
15%
24%
61%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SIB
1 - 3
SME
20%
27%
53%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AMU
3 - 0
SIB
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |