Smena Komsomolsk vs Sibiryak Bratsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
SIB
1 - 6
SME
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
SIB
1 - 1
SME
36%
28%
37%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
SME
4 - 0
YAK
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MOP
1 - 0
SME
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
SAK
2 - 0
SME
38%
28%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Sibiryak Bratsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
SIB
0 - 2
AMU
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
SIB
1 - 1
SME
36%
28%
37%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
SIB
0 - 5
SIB
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
YAK
2 - 0
SIB
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
SIB
1 - 2
MOP
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |