Smena Komsomolsk vs Sibiryak Bratsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
SIB
1 - 1
SME
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2011 |
SIB
2 - 2
SME
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
SME
2 - 2
YAK
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
SAK
0 - 2
SME
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
MOP
2 - 1
SME
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sibiryak Bratsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
SIB
2 - 1
AMU
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2011 |
SIB
2 - 2
SME
26%
27%
47%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
SIB
3 - 2
SIB
44%
24%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
YAK
1 - 1
SIB
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SIB
2 - 1
MOP
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |