Smena Komsomolsk vs Sibiryak Bratsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
MET
2 - 1
SME
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
KUK
0 - 0
SME
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
SME
2 - 0
SAK
44%
27%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
SAK
1 - 0
SME
41%
27%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
SME
0 - 0
RAD
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sibiryak Bratsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
SIB
2 - 3
DIN
25%
25%
49%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
SIB
1 - 2
YEN
26%
25%
49%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
YEN
1 - 0
SIB
68%
19%
14%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2010 |
SIB
3 - 2
MOP
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
SIB
1 - 1
OKN
67%
21%
13%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |