Smena Komsomolsk vs Sibir Novosibirsk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
TOM
1 - 1
SME
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
SME
1 - 0
TOM
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
IRT
0 - 1
SME
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
SIB
0 - 1
SME
17%
24%
59%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
SME
3 - 0
MET
23%
27%
50%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SIB
3 - 1
DIN
15%
21%
64%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
SIB
0 - 3
MET
14%
24%
62%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
DIN
4 - 2
SIB
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
MET
1 - 0
SIB
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
SIB
2 - 1
YAK
21%
23%
56%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |