Smena Komsomolsk vs Sibir Novosibirsk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
SME
0 - 0
IRT
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
RAD
1 - 1
SME
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SIB
1 - 3
SME
20%
27%
53%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SME
0 - 0
YAK
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
SAK
1 - 0
SME
57%
25%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sibir Novosibirsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
SAK
5 - 0
SIB
73%
18%
9%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
SIB
1 - 2
FCC
20%
26%
54%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SIB
0 - 2
AMU
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SIB
1 - 1
IRT
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
SIB
1 - 0
SIB
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |