Smena Komsomolsk vs Sakhalin Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 2
SME
9%
15%
76%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
FKZ
3 - 1
SME
25%
26%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 0
SME
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
SME
4 - 2
IRT
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SME
0 - 1
DIN
45%
26%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sakhalin Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 0
SAK
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
FKZ
1 - 1
SAK
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
SAK
1 - 2
DIN
58%
22%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SAK
3 - 0
IRT
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
SME
2 - 1
SAK
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |