Smena Komsomolsk vs Sakhalin Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
YAK
1 - 5
SME
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2011 |
SME
2 - 0
SIB
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
SME
4 - 0
SIB
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
SIB
1 - 1
SME
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2011 |
SIB
2 - 2
SME
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sakhalin Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
SAK
2 - 0
MET
20%
25%
55%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
SAK
2 - 0
KUK
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2011 |
RAD
1 - 0
SAK
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 0
SAK
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
SAK
0 - 0
RAD
38%
26%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |