Smena Komsomolsk vs Okean Nakhodka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
SHP
0 - 1
SME
19%
26%
55%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
MET
0 - 0
SME
71%
19%
11%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
AMU
0 - 2
SME
38%
28%
34%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
SME
2 - 0
CHN
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SME
1 - 1
DIN
33%
27%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Okean Nakhodka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
MET
4 - 0
OKN
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
SHP
0 - 2
OKN
16%
24%
60%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
OKN
3 - 1
FCC
45%
27%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2006 |
OKN
0 - 0
DIN
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
OKN
2 - 1
CHN
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |