Smena Komsomolsk vs Mostovik Primorye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
SME
0 - 1
SAK
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
YAK
1 - 5
SME
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2011 |
SME
2 - 0
SIB
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
SME
4 - 0
SIB
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
SIB
1 - 1
SME
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mostovik Primorye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
AMU
0 - 3
MOP
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
MOP
1 - 0
MET
24%
25%
52%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
MOP
2 - 1
KUK
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 1
MOP
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
RAD
1 - 0
MOP
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |