Smena Komsomolsk vs Kuzbass analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2011 |
SME
1 - 2
MET
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
AMU
0 - 0
SME
12%
21%
67%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SAK
2 - 1
SME
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SME
3 - 1
RAD
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
SME
1 - 1
FCC
40%
28%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Kuzbass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2011 |
AMU
0 - 1
KUK
22%
25%
53%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
KUK
2 - 0
SIB
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
KUK
2 - 0
SIB
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
DIN
3 - 2
KUK
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
KUK
2 - 1
MET
17%
24%
59%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | +2 |