Smena Komsomolsk vs Zenit Irkutsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FKZ
2 - 1
SME
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
FCC
2 - 0
SME
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
SME
2 - 0
IRT
62%
22%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SME
3 - 1
DIN
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
SME
1 - 0
SAK
33%
27%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zenit Irkutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FKZ
2 - 1
SME
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
FKZ
4 - 1
SAK
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
FKZ
1 - 4
FCC
19%
25%
56%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
IRT
2 - 0
FKZ
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
DIN
3 - 0
FKZ
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |