Smena Komsomolsk vs Amur-2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SME
3 - 0
FCC
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
SME
2 - 4
SAK
34%
28%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
YAK
0 - 1
SME
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
SME
0 - 0
RAD
60%
23%
18%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
SME
3 - 1
SIB
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Amur-2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
SAK
1 - 0
AMU
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
AMU
1 - 1
YAK
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SIB
1 - 2
AMU
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
RAD
0 - 0
AMU
35%
26%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
AMU
1 - 2
IRT
60%
22%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |