Smederevo vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
20.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MET
0 - 1
SME
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SME
1 - 2
29%
31%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
CRV
4 - 0
SME
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SME
0 - 1
BOR
49%
29%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BSK
0 - 1
SME
37%
30%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NPA
1 - 0
JAV
39%
31%
30%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FKS
1 - 0
NPA
67%
22%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
NPA
1 - 2
VOJ
15%
26%
59%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RAD
0 - 0
NPA
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NPA
1 - 1
PAR
11%
22%
67%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +2 |