Smederevo vs Napredak Krusevac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SME
2 - 2
27%
31%
42%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
RAD
1 - 0
SME
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SME
0 - 0
NPA
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RAD
0 - 0
SME
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SME
0 - 5
JAV
35%
32%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
JED
1 - 1
NAP
14%
25%
61%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 0
TIM
79%
16%
5%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 2
NAP
22%
28%
51%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NAP
3 - 2
BEA
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MLA
2 - 3
NAP
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |