UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 5-2
Smederevo vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
BEO
3 - 1
SME
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 0
SME
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
SUT
2 - 1
SME
56%
23%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2001 |
SME
1 - 0
VOJ
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
SME
1 - 1
RAD
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 0
SME
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CEL
0 - 2
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
DUN
2 - 1
KIL
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 2
HIB
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |