UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 3-6
Smederevo vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
MUN
3 - 1
SME
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2001 |
SME
5 - 2
DUN
51%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
BEO
3 - 1
SME
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
DUN
0 - 0
SME
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
SUT
2 - 1
SME
56%
23%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
MUN
3 - 1
SME
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
MUN
0 - 1
COT
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
ROS
0 - 0
MUN
47%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
MUN
3 - 1
KOL
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
UNT
3 - 2
MUN
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |