Smedby vs Nyköpings BIS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
69.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
8º
13º
11º
45
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smedby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SYL
3 - 2
SME
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
SME
4 - 1
BKL
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
JBK
0 - 4
SME
11%
15%
74%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
ESK
3 - 2
SME
57%
20%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NAI
0 - 1
SME
38%
22%
41%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nyköpings BIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
NYK
2 - 1
ENS
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
HUD
1 - 3
NYK
23%
22%
56%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
SIF
2 - 4
NYK
7%
12%
82%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
NYK
1 - 1
ATV
59%
20%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
MAI
4 - 1
NYK
16%
19%
65%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | -1 |