Varnsdorf vs FC Zlín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
14º
9º
28
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
28 | 63 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 57 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 49 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 46 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 43 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 42 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 42 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 41 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 38 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 37 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 35 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 35 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 33 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 32 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 27 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 69% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 29.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 1
SLO
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SOK
0 - 3
SLO
9%
15%
76%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 3
SGO
41%
24%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 3
CHR
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 2
VYS
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Zlín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ZLI
2 - 0
SPA
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SOK
1 - 5
ZLI
9%
16%
75%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BOI
0 - 1
ZLI
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
ZLI
2 - 1
SPI
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZBR
1 - 2
ZLI
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |