Varnsdorf vs Vyškov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
14º
9º
16
3º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 63 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 57 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 49 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 46 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 43 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 42 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 42 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 41 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 38 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 37 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 35 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 35 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 33 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 32 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 27 |
16º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIS
1 - 0
SLO
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FKP
2 - 3
SLO
10%
16%
74%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
SLO
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BOI
2 - 0
SLO
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ZBR
1 - 6
SLO
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vyškov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
VYS
1 - 0
ZBR
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
HFK
0 - 2
VYS
6%
15%
79%
|
65 | 24 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
OPA
1 - 0
VYS
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
VYS
1 - 0
SPI
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BOI
1 - 3
VYS
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |