Varnsdorf vs Třinec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SLA
1 - 0
SLO
28%
26%
45%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SLO
2 - 2
FCV
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
OPA
1 - 0
SLO
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SLO
3 - 2
ESK
47%
25%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
HRA
4 - 4
SLO
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Třinec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 1
FRY
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
HRA
5 - 0
TRI
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FKM
5 - 1
TRI
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TRI
0 - 0
SOK
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
UST
3 - 1
TRI
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |