Varnsdorf vs Sigma Olomouc II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
14º
9º
8
5º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 61 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 54 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 45 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 44 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 44 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 44 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 41 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 40 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 39 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 37 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 37 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 34 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 34 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 32 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 27 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 74% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 3
CHR
49%
24%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 2
VYS
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIS
1 - 0
SLO
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FKP
2 - 3
SLO
10%
16%
74%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
SLO
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sigma Olomouc II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCV
3 - 0
SGO
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SGO
5 - 0
BOI
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPI
4 - 0
SGO
37%
25%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SGO
3 - 1
VJI
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
ZLI
1 - 0
SGO
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |